Press release based on completed survey in Russia and preliminary data from Ukraine.
The ExtremeScan agency conducted a study in Russia and Ukraine on the current stage of ceasefire negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, the consequences of military actions in both countries, readiness for peace, attitudes of nations towards each other, the influence of political leaders on the peace process, and the acceptability of ceasefire scenarios.
Fieldwork in Russia was conducted from February 20 to 26, 2025.
Fieldwork in Ukraine is ongoing. The results collected from February 26 to March 1, 2025, are based on a limited sample of 641 respondents.
The data collection period coincided with critical political events that could significantly influence public opinion. One of the most notable was Vladimir Zelensky's meeting with Donald Trump in Washington. We will analyze these dynamics after the completion of fieldwork in Ukraine.
We would like to share some of the research findings that are most relevant to recent events.
Question 1. I will read a list of leaders from different countries. Please rate on a scale from 1 to 5 how much the resolution of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine depends on each of them? 1 - does not depend at all, 5 - fully depends.
Average rating on a scale from 1 to 5
Ukraine | Russia | |
Donald Trump | 3.7 | 4.3 |
Vladimir Putin | 4.0 | 4.8 |
Volodymyr Zelensky | 4.0 | 2.0 |
Xi Jinping | 3.3 | 3.3 |
Emmanuel Macron | 3.5 | 1.9 |
Top 2: Share of respondents who rated 4 or 5
Ukraine | Russia | |
Donald Trump | 62% | 78% |
Vladimir Putin | 70% | 94% |
Volodymyr Zelensky | 71% | 18% |
Xi Jinping | 45% | 41% |
Emmanuel Macron | 54% | 8% |
Question 2. In your opinion, whose side is US President Donald Trump on in the ceasefire negotiations: more on the side of Russia or Ukraine?
Ukraine | Russia | |
On Russia's side | 48% | 43% |
On Ukraine's side | 15% | 10% |
On the side of the US/self-interest (the option has not been stated) | 20% | 32% |
Difficult to answer | 17% | 14% |
Question 3. To what extent do you trust Donald Trump?
Ukraine | Russia | |
Trust | 14% | 20% |
Do not trust | 82% | 74% |
Difficult to answer | 4% | 7% |
Question 4. How do you feel about Donald Trump’s proposal to exchange US military aid for the right to exploit Ukraine's natural resources?
Ukraine | |
Agree | 37% |
Disagree | 59% |
Difficult to answer/Refused to answer | 4% |
Question 5. Do you support holding presidential elections during martial law?
Ukraine | |
Support | 20% |
Do not support | 80% |
Difficult to answer/Refused to answer | 0% |
Question 6. What is strategically more important for Ukraine: relations with European countries or with the US?
Ukraine | |
European countries | 70% |
The US | 13% |
Both are important | 13% |
Difficult to answer | 3% |
Question 7. Do you approve or disapprove of Volodymyr Zelensky's foreign policy and his position in negotiations?
Ukraine | |
Approve | 80% |
Disapprove | 13% |
Difficult to answer/Refused to answer | 7% |
Russia
Sample size – 1,200 respondents. The survey was conducted using the CATI method (computer-assisted telephone interviews) based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers. RDD according to Roskomnadzor data, stratified by federal districts and two federal-level cities. The sample is representative of the adult population of Russia (18 years and older) by gender, age, and federal district. The estimated sampling error is 2.81% at a 95% confidence level.
The survey was conducted from February 20 to 26, 2025.
Ukraine
Sample size – 641 respondents. The survey was conducted using the CATI method (computer-assisted telephone interviews) based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers generated by RDD. The sample is representative of the adult population of Ukraine (18 years and older) by gender, age, settlement size, and region of residence before the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine. The survey was conducted only in Ukrainian-controlled territories. The estimated sampling error does not exceed 3.9% at a 95% confidence level.
The survey was conducted from February 26 to March 1, 2025.
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